Trick Play Kristen LEAD THE LEAGUE IN SCORING AND WILL NOT SHUT UP ABOUT IT +++ BIGGEST BLOWOUT: Trick Play Kristen HUNG 84.9 ON Comrade Gritty's +++ TACO'S LOCK OF THE WEEK IS IN: FADE ACCORDINGLY +++ HOT TAKE HANK EATS ANOTHER HAT (HAT COUNT: 0, HATS OWNED: 0) +++ Conspiracy Theory SCORE POINTS, WIN NOTHING, DEMAND RECOUNT +++ SPREADSHEET STEVE CORRECT AGAIN, INVITED TO ZERO PARTIES +++ THE COMMISSIONER IS IN LAST PLACE AND EVERY RULING IS NOW SUSPECT /// Trick Play Kristen LEAD THE LEAGUE IN SCORING AND WILL NOT SHUT UP ABOUT IT +++ BIGGEST BLOWOUT: Trick Play Kristen HUNG 84.9 ON Comrade Gritty's +++ TACO'S LOCK OF THE WEEK IS IN: FADE ACCORDINGLY +++ HOT TAKE HANK EATS ANOTHER HAT (HAT COUNT: 0, HATS OWNED: 0) +++ Conspiracy Theory SCORE POINTS, WIN NOTHING, DEMAND RECOUNT +++ SPREADSHEET STEVE CORRECT AGAIN, INVITED TO ZERO PARTIES +++ THE COMMISSIONER IS IN LAST PLACE AND EVERY RULING IS NOW SUSPECT /// Trick Play Kristen LEAD THE LEAGUE IN SCORING AND WILL NOT SHUT UP ABOUT IT +++ BIGGEST BLOWOUT: Trick Play Kristen HUNG 84.9 ON Comrade Gritty's +++ TACO'S LOCK OF THE WEEK IS IN: FADE ACCORDINGLY +++ HOT TAKE HANK EATS ANOTHER HAT (HAT COUNT: 0, HATS OWNED: 0) +++ Conspiracy Theory SCORE POINTS, WIN NOTHING, DEMAND RECOUNT +++ SPREADSHEET STEVE CORRECT AGAIN, INVITED TO ZERO PARTIES +++ THE COMMISSIONER IS IN LAST PLACE AND EVERY RULING IS NOW SUSPECT
Conspiracy Theory favored by 28.3. Chaos favored by history.
🎰 Fake News Sportsbook — Yahoo line vs the FNF Model
Yahoo Spread
Conspiracy Theory +28.3
FNF Model
Conspiracy Theory by 30.2
Over / Under
262.9
Model Score
114.2–144.4
Tale of the Tape
Amon-Ra Doggin
Conspiracy Theory
Record
1
0
Points For
198.5
278.0
Points Against
192.2
342.2
Two-Week Average
99.2
139.0
Trend (Wk2 − Wk1)
+18.7
+5.8
Season High
108.6
141.9
Yahoo Projection
117.3
145.6
FNF Model
114.2
144.4
Keys to the Game
Our analysts watched zero film
Amon-Ra Doggin win if…
Someone has to go off. No clear matchup edge on the sheet, so Amon-Ra Doggin need a star turn — Christian McCaffrey is the most likely candidate.
Check the injury report: Aaron Jones Sr. Banged up and 'not 100 percent'.
Contain Bryce Young. Derek Brown's strong start: Cleveland allows the 5th-highest passing success rate and the 11th-lowest pressure rate — Conspiracy Theory's best path goes right through him.
Conspiracy Theory win if…
Ride the matchup: Bryce Young. Derek Brown's strong start: Cleveland allows the 5th-highest passing success rate and the 11th-lowest pressure rate.
Survive Harold Fannin Jr. Carolina allows the 7th-fewest tight-end yards per target — mitigate the damage and the rest of the lineup can carry it.
Don't beat yourself. Amon-Ra Doggin have no glaring matchup edge either — the cleaner team wins this.
The Debate Desk
🔥 Hot Take Hank
Picks Conspiracy Theory
Steve and I finally agree, and it feels terrible: Conspiracy Theory by 30.2. The Thursday money is already counted — Drake London put ~28.4 in the bank before most of Amon-Ra Doggin even stretched. Lamar Jackson — gets Dallas in Rio in one of the week's highest totals (low 50s).
📊 Spreadsheet Steve
Picks Conspiracy Theory
Conspiracy Theory by 30.2. The projections and the matchups agree, which almost never happens. Bryce Young — Derek Brown's strong start: Cleveland allows the 5th-highest passing success rate and the 11th-lowest pressure rate. Amon-Ra Doggin's side of the sheet is uglier: Rome Odunze — RotoBaller's worst WR/CB matchup of the week: Quinyon Mitchell in coverage with third-stringer Case Keenum likely at QB Monday night.